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Showing content with the highest reputation on 07/24/2021 in all areas

  1. Currently reading ‘Spike’ - the story of the pandemic so far by Jeremy Farrar, a member of Sage. Cracking read. In it he talks about herd immunity and how scientifically it was not recommended early on, as Bojo perhaps wanted. Now however, with most people vaxxed and in the middle of summer, I don’t think it’s unreasonable. I’ve been to Calf Sound Cafe this morning - plenty in there - and am out tonight, hopefully, playing a gig. I’m following my own advice and just getting on with it, but will continue to take care in shops and obviously at the hospital. If I get symptoms I’ll get a test and if positive stay in for 10 days. At the moment covid is rampant here, but hardly any are getting properly ill. Over the next couple of weeks immunity from infections will top up our immunity from vaccinations and it’ll be done. An optimistic, pragmatic opinion - I hope.
    16 points
  2. The dynamic duo's definition of 'living with it' seems to be, if you can't see it, it isn't there. Living with it is working out how we can help businesses keep their doors open and lights on, whilst enabling them to do their best to keep people safe. Living with it is helping the vulnerable who have been shielding for quite some time feel safe again out in the open air. Living with it is addressing the health crises that have emerged from or been amplified by the pandemic. Living with it isn't ignoring it and simply hoping things don't keep going tits up. Living with it isn't plunging us all back into lockdown either if you suddenly bottle it.
    9 points
  3. Living with it to me is all about doing your own risk assessment, that is not going back to normal. That was when most people didn't have to risk assess their own susceptibility to an infectious disease. Anyone remember the impact of AIDS and how that changed what was normal? There was a huge change in sexual practices, mainly using condoms and it is almost a given that despite using some other form of birth control, condoms are still used from an infection control angle. That is living with it.
    8 points
  4. Apart from the regulations not giving the manager of a health facility the discretion to exclude the requirement. Skelly (or was it Hooper?) posted the regulation at the time. The guidance was contradictory it would seem. It was definitely ill-advised. More than that, his later comments about MR were a veiled threat for them to toe the line and now he won't be interviewed by them. Petty, egotistical and bordering on an attempt to control the press. Good job he is going.
    7 points
  5. I don’t think you have calibrated the model accurately. I think your R is way off, your length of stay is off, choosing a single seeding is inaccurate given we now have 1000s, but mainly modelling the population as a homogeneous 14765 susceptible group is way off reality. You also don’t have a stratified admission rate according to age. Dr Ewart said models weren’t helpful here due to our small numbers and I can see where she’s coming from. I’ve spent the last year plus modelling this pandemic. My first effort did the trick quite well, but recently the confidence intervals have just been far too wide - we don’t really know R for delta, we don’t know the exact vaccine efficacy, and all models are very sensitive to these inputs. Last time I ran them, my conclusion was once we’d vaxxed over 30s we should be able to cope with unmitigated spread. I think that’s where we are now, and so far so good.
    7 points
  6. Gladys has provided the answer. Condoms to stop government spunking cash
    7 points
  7. I might just buy that and do a YT video on it. These days we prefer gentle invasions. By migrating here, merging into daily life and becoming part of the political sys....nevermind....
    7 points
  8. I'm not sure what the point of testing is any more. Apart from those entering hospital for an elective medical procedure say where it might prove best to postpone it. Or postponing a move into a care home or staff between care homes say. The vast majority of the most vulnerable by age or condition have had two jabs which is all the mitigation you'll ever get. Those that chose not to have it will sink or swim; if they catch it a jab will be too late to change the outcome. The tests now change nothing. Apart from sending people, who have few if any sever symptoms, home from work or school. Why? Why not let those who are well enough to work do so and those too sick to work take sick leave, like you would with a dose of flu or winter vomiting bug. It's here, it's rampant and it'll burn itself out in a few weeks. Nothing we do now will change that. We've done all we can do to avoid the worst of it. Government tell us we have to get on with it. So let us. And if Nobles is overwhelmed by serious cases, then they can put their emergency plan into action. There must be one.
    7 points
  9. I don’t believe that for a second. No one wants this pandemic to ‘roll on’ and it’s ridiculous to assert so.
    6 points
  10. Pretty much everyone is going to get covid over the next 2-3 years. People need to get their heads around that fact.
    6 points
  11. Aside from the offices who have swapped back to remote working as numbers started climbing again, or the growing proportion of people wearing masks on the bus, in shops etc. The change in the air after the last press briefing was tangible. I’ll staunchly remain a proponent of encouraging sense in places like supermarkets, pharmacies and buses. Places like that are ones you simply can’t avoid sometimes But, if you want to lick eachother at the golf club, have at it. Everyone visiting is there by choice.
    6 points
  12. Keep your dirty stinking illnesses in dirty stinking Douglas please!
    6 points
  13. Some of the Islands soils are well suited to growing crops. We struggle for scale needed to justify kit to efficiently grow and market down to a price.
    6 points
  14. That's just the effect of years of listening to Manx Radio.
    5 points
  15. People like me have been trying to tell you for months that this was going to happen. Places have to close down because the people who work there have covid and there aren’t enough staff left to carry on. There’s a huge shortage of workforce in hospitality, building etc, there’s no staff available to cover. This is what happens when you decide to ‘live with it’. This is what you wanted. You’re now living with it and you’re still whining.
    5 points
  16. It isn’t living with it though as nobody is being compensated for their losses. Government has just found a way to get out of paying businesses and made the pandemic their problem now. It’s going to result in a fair few folding.
    5 points
  17. I think a lot of people thought that by saying ‘we’ve just got to get on with life’ thought that meant life would just go on as normal. It won’t. Not for a while.
    5 points
  18. In reaction to the IOM topping the Covid stakes: ”I suspect this may be the end of the IoM tourism sector and the TT. It will take many years to live this down.” love reading this level of absolute bafoonary while out on a morning stroll. There doesn’t seem to be a care in the world by anyone including those choosing to wear masks that I have seen.
    5 points
  19. There are phrases and terminology that have been used, repeated and paraphrased that have really not helped. It has raised and dashed realistic expectation of how the virus operates and the best way society and individuals can try to deal with / overcome its impact. Some one posted before that the first casualty of this struggle has been clarity, good messaging and consistency alongside respect for the public's ability to deal with and respect for openness. That has been sadly lacking at times. Living with it means different things to different people. The main thing is not to die from it.
    5 points
  20. ...... and that's exactly why Peel holdings have us by the shorts !!!!!! I wonder how the original Cost / Benefit analysis stacks up against figures in excess of 50 million, plus ongoing costs ?
    5 points
  21. Doubling down Maybe one of our £1m (+ government advertising revenue) subsidised national mouthpiece journalists might ask the question? "Q1. In the event we exceed the available capacity at Nobles ITU is there a plan in place?" "Q2. Has it actually been tested....(pause)...recently and what was the result?" Or would HQ (Howling Quietly) start wailing and pulling out his hair? Or maybe DA (Draculas Apprentice) has his excuses lined up. Maybe dust off the fridge magnets "unpresidented", "keyboard warriors", "in it together", "social media" etc.
    5 points
  22. I have another solution. Quayle shuts the fuck up and does one.
    5 points
  23. So not Head Bully in a CoMin full of bullies then? Who didn't bully Colas on the Richmond Hill surface dressing fiasco before Colas fought back with email evidence? Who didn't bully Dr Glover? Who aren't bullying Dr Ewart? Who didn't try to bully the suppliers of the original replacement NSC slides until they were forced to buy a second set that were actually the right size? Who have shown their true fascist colours on the matter of a perfectly legitimate Manx Radio question (and who have been equally intransigent with Paul Moulton and others)? The same Council of Ministers that have overspent and underdelivered on the Promenade 'scheme'? Are throwing money at creating a glass palace in Liverpool when a few posh Portacabins would have done perfectly well? And who have now thrown their hands up on Covid and told us (effectively) it's every man for himself? I don't know who you are (unlike others it seems) but I suspect you're living in a parallel universe where everyone is equal, except CoMin members who are more equal than the others.
    4 points
  24. How i would like to go up to the Falcon Cliff hotel,on the cliffside lift (10p fare),sit with an Okells bitter,at 10pm gazing down on the old prom,heaving with bikes ,at TT 78 ...on a unusually hot night,(just like now) with a great sunset,and coloured lights strung between the lamposts,with the 3 legs on the top....Well at least ive done it
    4 points
  25. About 0.4% risk of fatality. Just being 80 gives you an annual risk of death around 8%
    4 points
  26. Equally, could you not argue, that as a representative of the people, you are bound to higher standards than others? Excusing oneself upon a technicality could be seen as crass.
    4 points
  27. Just walk away from it. Grass it over and be done with it. Stick a few benches in it and rename it Baker's Folly. It can be a nice spot to sit and also a cautionary tale in the land of the scousers.
    4 points
  28. You missed Ashford shredding and saying what he likes.
    4 points
  29. It’s very easy to pass judgement from a high castle. The people buying ready meals and sanitising everything? Might be working all the hours god send to keep a roof over their heads. The last thing they want to do when they get home is cook. But, sanitising everything might reduce their risk and mean they can actually work. Statutory sick pay won’t keep the kids fed and mortgage paid. Cigarettes or booze may well be what gets them through the day, god help you if you have a mental health crisis over here and need urgent help. You won’t find it very quickly, you’ll often find yourself turning to other coping mechanisms instead.
    4 points
  30. What did you think would happen Thommo? Did you think we would lift all restrictions at a time when only 50% of the population were double jabbed and when the Delta variant was making its way over here due to the relaxation of the border rules and nothing would happen apart from us all ‘going back to fucking normal’? Please, I’m genuinely interested to know what you thought would happen and also why you’re so surprised that the virus is running rampant and people (employed and otherwise) are dropping like flies.
    4 points
  31. You sum up the feelings of 99.9% of the Island. The rest are having a real struggle getting their heads around where we are today. You fear for their mental states. Oh well, off to golf … I bet that clubhouse will be packed at lunchtime (drinking, regaling tales, having fun) with mask deniers.
    4 points
  32. Why not let the market decide? If you value low priced imported meat above locally sourced then that is your choice. At the moment you have the ridiculous situation where every single taxpayer be they vegan or on the breadline is subsidising a product that they neither want or can afford. Maybe it's time we had a referendum.... oh wait we don't so good with those do we. Can't have the pesky public deciding how to spend our money now can we.
    4 points
  33. Those 6 beds aren't lying around waiting for Covid customers. They are used, all the time. Sometimes ICU is quiet sometimes it is busy, busy, busy. And that is wIthout Covid. (I know, I have spent a lot of time in there). ETA: Oh, and those operating theatres aren't buckshee empty spaces, idly waiting for a pandemic to come along. There are contingencies of course. But once you start piling in the Covid there is going to be a helluva strain on staff and equipment etc.
    4 points
  34. So, because MR receive a subvention, they should apply a different standard of reporting? Was it untruthful? He went to Hospice within 10 days of returning from an off island visit. That was contrary to the regulations, the fact that the guidance was contradictory doesn't negate that, but it makes it difficult to support a prosecution. See the Steam Packet fiasco for earlier precedent. In his position, it may have been better to say that there seemed to be a contradiction, but he acted in good faith observing mitigating measures whilst there and would cooperate with an investigation. When the outcome of the investigation was known, then he should have said that even though the investigation cleared him, it appears that guidelines were contradictory and he would take steps to ensure guidance did not create anomalies such as the one he had inadvertantly fallen into. That would be an appropriate leaderly response, not throwing a tantrum at MR.
    3 points
  35. Where abouts is this racing line exactly? Clearly, the police are doing their duty if we're not seeing a rise in the rate of accidents on the mountain. Speculating that all the bikers are going to all crash and overwhelm the hospital is getting a bit silly.
    3 points
  36. Maybe I'm just naive. From what I can see the vaccine is doing its job stopping people getting so sick they need hospital treatment and putting pressure on the hospital, we have what 2000 known cases and 6 people in hospital compared to the start of this when we had around 5/600 cases and deaths in the 20s if I remember correctly. I don't see why it's not being treated like other viruses you get sick stay home and recover, if you're not sick go to work all this testing to find 'cases' is a never ending loop
    3 points
  37. Has 'living with it' been mis-sold as or conflated with going back to normal?
    3 points
  38. So what exactly do you want the government to do? We are all responsible for our own health and well being. At the start of this whole thing I was well overweight, seeing that it affected overweight people I decided to lose weight, I've lost nearly 2 stone and feel great. People seem to keep banging on about the government but don't actually want to do anything themselves. However I will agree the isolation rules need looking at
    3 points
  39. 75% of people testing positive are symptomatic per the COVID dashboard. People testing positive isn’t what’s decimating business, it’s the virus running rampant and the Government absolving themselves of the problem.
    3 points
  40. 3 points
  41. If they’ve got covid they should be isolating. The secret Pizza, for example, has three off with covid. It’s not viable to run the place with two members of staff. It’s just not safe logistically. This IS living with it. People are going to get covid and this stage is inevitable.
    3 points
  42. Rumoured by who? People on social media who think covid is stalking them and is waiting round every corner?
    3 points
  43. This is thing that I don't get. People just seem to be in denial of the reality of a global pandemic.
    3 points
  44. I’ve muted so many Twitter accounts in the last three months. It’s much better for your own mental health to just let them crack on with their doomsaying. But then a lot of it seems to be repeated here too.
    3 points
  45. How exactly would you expect these pubs to open when they have no staff? Maybe this is all part of living with it.
    3 points
  46. Saw that tripe on Twitter too this morning. Fed up of the scaremongering and whilst I'm pissed at CoMin not listening to their new EAG or health advisors... I'm really starting to turn off Dr Glover now. She's chief scaremongerer.
    3 points
  47. Yeah they'll be disappointed, especially with all the great suggestions they have come up with like, we should wear masks on public transport. Game changing.....I think not.
    3 points
  48. Announced yesterday Manx Care are recruiting another 10 therapists/psychologists in 2021, with more in 2022, and training another 8 locally. Sounds as if one is to be embedded within each GP practice. Long overdue. Kudos to Ross Bailey and Teresa Cope for moving this forward
    3 points
  49. Yesterday, we were told in presser by director of health that "no detailed modelling is being undertaken". The testing capacity is maxed out and some will avoid testing due to isolation requirements. With modelling or even testing, how can Manx Care get a handle on likely Nobles demand around 24th Aug when peak hospital bed occupancy is expected. Maybe I am missing something..... Please help, this is concerning me.
    3 points
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