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Showing content with the highest reputation since 09/22/2019 in all areas

  1. 26 points
    My dad was unfortunately one of the residents who passed away at Abbotswood. It's very easy, after the fact, to focus on apportioning blame, to advise (from afar) on what ‘should have been’ – and assume that many of the people and organizations involved are incompetent. From our family’s perspective, in the early stages of the crisis, the staff (and management) at the time tried really hard to protect the residents – stopping all visits, sleeping on-site in two shifts to minimize passage in and out of the building and so on. In hindsight, this wasn’t enough to prevent the tragedy – but the world was only just coming to terms with the sheer scale of the issue and understanding what steps and measures would be required. It is much easier to look back and criticise than to look forward and predict how things would unfold. The staff and management are clearly devastated with what has happened – and I believe that much of the criticism is undeserved. The care sector worldwide is struggling to manage the issue – and if Abbotswood ends up being the limit of the care home tragedy on the Island, it will have been a narrow escape for the others. I hope that this is the case. Also, the nature of the residents conditions and behaviour – and I include my dad in this - doesn’t make it easy. Many simply don’t understand what is going on, are difficult or impossible to persuade to follow advise or instructions – and are unpredictable and sometimes unruly. Given how difficult and disturbing this in the best of times, I don’t underestimate how much more difficult it must be in a crisis. In the case of our family at least, we don’t blame the management, staff or the government for dad’s passing. Their response wasn’t perfect – but it’s a global tragedy and fate pays a part too. Micky
  2. 24 points
    In the current circumstances, really? I have not seen my mother, who is in a nursing home, for over 2 months, I get that and comply. I could not take my friend, who cannot drive, shopping even though she could get on a bus, I get that and complied. I could not have my daughter and granddaughter round for a meal, I get that and complied. (Still can't if her partner comes too.) I have to queue to go into any shop, even though I shop also for an elderly couple who are shielding, I get that and comply. I cannot have a trip off the island without having to isolate on return, I get that and comply. We have happily given up many freedoms to minimise the impact of CV on our island, but because a group of people want to demonstrate for BLM contrary to the current rules, all those freedoms we have all given up are for nothing. What happened in the US was despicable and attitudes in the US need to change, absolutely. But, a demo on the IOM right now is not going to make one jot of difference. There are other ways of showing solidarity without some state supported showboating at the current time.
  3. 24 points
    Press Release from the Rob Vine Fund Following the cessation of Motor Sport on the Isle of Man in the midst of the Covid-19 pandemic the Directors of the Rob Vine Fund, Registered Charity No.954 (Isle of Man) wish to inform the public of the Isle of Man that they have unanimously decided to make all our equipment available to support the Manx community. This means we can supply the DHSC with 1. All of the medical equipment in storage for motor sport events on the Isle of Man. The list includes; • 4 Patient ventilators, suitable for Intensive Care use • 4 Multipurpose Patient Monitors for use on wards or Intensive Care. • 5 Suction Units • 8 Adult Advanced Life Support Bags • 3 Paediatric Advanced Life Support Bags • 130 Immediate care cases (prepacked with lifesaving medical equipment) • 130 Scoop Stretchers • All extra medical equipment currently held in stock 2. We have made available our three frontline ambulances should they be required. These assets have a total value of £750,000 3. The unpaid volunteers of the Hogg Motorsport Association are currently on standby to assist the Isle of Man Ambulance Service in any way they can We remain committed to supporting the Health Service and the Manx community while the Covid-19 Pandemic continues in any way we can. We wish to thank everyone who has donated to the Rob Vine Fund which makes this gesture possible. The Directors of the Rob Vine Fund.
  4. 23 points
    I am delighted to announce that I will be returning to Manx Radio’s Late Show on Wednesday 1st July. This follows a three week suspension after complaints were lodged against me for comments made by me and contributors to my programme on 3rd June. This led to an investigation by the regulator, the Isle of Man Communications Commission. Their report, published yesterday (24th June) concluded that Manx Radio had not breached the Broadcasting Code and that there was no case to answer. I feel strongly that people should be able to discuss things rationally and respectfully – it’s the only way to resolve our differences - and worry that free speech for all could be under threat of being choked by some. I believe that the vast majority of people are kind, considerate and open-minded, and I fully intend to ensure that their voices are heard. But I will not expose myself, Manx Radio or anyone else to the comments and abuse of the last three weeks, and have asked the station to remove the live phone-in element of my show. It will still provide a platform for discussion and debate, but texts and emails are easier to moderate than live callers. The resources simply aren’t there to employ call screeners, producers or delay systems. Manx Radio has acted properly and responsibly and I thank them for their faith in me. I would also like to thank the IOM Communications Commission for a thorough and fair report, and the thousands of people who have signed petitions and sent me messages of support. Of particular note is the Free Speech Union who took up my ‘cause’ and provided friendly guidance and practical advice – I would recommend them to anyone who has been told what to think or what to say. Time for me to draw a line under this so I'm recusing myself from further comment, going forward...(etc). Lessons have been learned...(etc).
  5. 23 points
    This is exactly the sort of idiocy that justifies what many think was the over the top camp Comis set up. Whereas most people can be trusted, it would only take one like this to spread the virus to a handful of people (who all think it’s perfectly safe and don’t practice their own social distancing) and we’re back to where we were in late March. I think the sentence is spot on.
  6. 22 points
    Information Notice.pdf Not sure if the PDF link will work, but this is the official word. To everyone on here who has supported me, thank you sincerely. To my many detractors, have a nice day.
  7. 19 points
    It's shite with people setting off fireworks so early - there's been some round here tonight, the dog bolted and knocked over the Xmas tree....
  8. 18 points
    Can you guys start a separate thread titled "Jersey is ace - oh no it isn't" and leave this one to a discussion on IOM and the coronavirus?
  9. 18 points
    There's a lot of difficult concepts and difficult decisions being made here. I'll have a go at a further explanation. Possible long post ahead. First the difference between 'public health' and what is generally known to be a medical consultation. During this pandemic so far I've been involved in a fair bit of the former - modelling the numbers, trying to predict how many patients we'll have to look after, what to do if we get overwhelmed - how, for example, you decide on who gets the last ventilator if more than one person needs it - predicting how much oxygen we'll need... For this function I'm not thinking about individual patients - it's all numbers. Sorry if that sounds dispassionate, but it has to be otherwise you'd go mad! We have about 5.2% of our population over 80, that's 4000 odd people. I'm estimating how many of them might be frail, and what the fatality rate will be if they catch covid. Numbers, numbers, numbers. No people. In my regular day job I frequently see patients over 80 - in that case they're individuals and I'll try to do my best for them, as if they were my mother or father. But in the public health function it's all about maximising the health of the whole population, even though you know some will get ill and some will die. Which is why we talk, perhaps insensitively, about blips, and clusters, and outbreaks etc. I realise that all these 'cases' are somebody's mother/father/brother/sister but it doesn't help to dwell on that when doing the numbers. Covid is not the only threat to health. It may be the most prominent one at the moment, but there's so much happening that doesn't make the news much that when trying to balance the overall health of the population you have to take into consideration. On Radio 4 today there was a top UK cancer doctor saying how more people would be dying of cancer later on than will die of covid. Many of the people dying of covid would be dead within a year or so anyway. Once again, sorry to be blunt, and I know they're all important to their families etc, but so are the patients not getting proper treatment for their cancer because of all the covid preparations, or suffering with their arthritis because they can't have their hips replaced, or going blind because their cataracts can't be extracted... Then there's the economics. Nobody likes to think that money is put before lives, but that's an emotional reaction, and emotions are best kept out of public policy decisions - it invariably leads to bad ones. The fact is that if the economy tanks, with mass unemployment, nobody spending, nobody paying tax etc then we won't be able to afford a health service, or anything else.That will obviously have health consequences in the future and result in worse outcomes for individuals. There are of course other aspects - society, domestic violence, mental health, suicides... All of these things have to be considered when making decisions as to how to manage this pandemic to minimise the overall harm to the population. All the indications are that spread of coronavirus in the wider community here has slowed considerably and almost stopped. Nobody wanted an outbreak in a Nursing Home, and when that happens given the demographic that lives there it's inevitable that there will be multiple deaths. But that doesn't mean you should continue the full lockdown based on the emotional reaction to that very (for many families) sad and distressing situation. For the greater long-term good we have to get things going ASAP, while ensuring, by continuing the testing, tracing and isolation, that the spread remains minimal and manageable for the health service, and we never have to invoke the policy on ethical allocation of limited ITU resources that we were discussing the other day. This island is doing pretty well here. There will inevitably be mistakes made at press conferences, there will inevitably be measures brought in which haven't necessarily been fully thought through because we simply don't have the luxury of a 3 month consultation period and multiple Tynwald debates on every single thing that is decided. Everyone is doing their best, no-one is making decisions lightly, and we're using the best multi-source evidence we can get. I'm not sure what else we could be doing.
  10. 18 points
    @Lost Login - (and anyone else who thinks this doesn't apply to them particularly) I seem to recall you're an accountant so you can do this. Set up your own model of exponential growth in numbers of patients infected with the virus starting from 1 last Thursday, using a daily growth rate of 29% (figure from UK growth in positives over the last few weeks). Probably 80% will get it as we have little if any native immunity. As many as 50-75% may be totally asymptomatic. Of the cases that get it, it varies with age, but broadly speaking about 20% need hospital care and of those 25% intensive care. Let us know your conclusions. The only thing we can affect, until we have a vaccine to reduce that 80% figure, is to reduce the 29% - the transmission rate. The key ways to do this are: Wash your hands, properly, and often STAY AT HOME - unless you absolutely have to go out MAINTAIN SOCIAL DISTANCE - 2m, no 'popping round to a friend's' etc If you have to SELF ISOLATE - DO IT PROPERLY - Don't leave the house at all. If we all do that, we have a chance, as a society, to get through this. It's not too late. For all the government bashing we generally get on here they have listened, and are doing the right thing. In my estimation we're a couple of weeks ahead of the UK in terms of the measures we've taken. I'm very concerned for our adjacent isle - we're going to see reports from there similar to those from Italy within a couple of weeks or so. WE HAVE A CHANCE OF AVOIDING THAT HERE IF WE ALL PLAY OUR PART. If it isn't essential, don't go there. Your 5-a-side games should be cancelled, I'd suggest.
  11. 17 points
    My father was one as well. I agree entirely with your sentiments.
  12. 16 points
    Children don’t become feral all on their own. Children want boundaries, want to know where they stand. It helps them to feel safe and explore the world healthily. What’s happening in Onchan and elsewhere is the result of a generation (or two or three) growing up with few boundaries, and few sanctions for breaking those boundaries. Without them we all become feral. The police must get involved by the time it becomes unlawful, the teachers must get involved when the boundary breaking affects the learning of others. Neither are parents nor social workers, they are service providers providing individual services and although guidance and community play a part they are not there to do the job of parents. Three generations of parents brought up after the war by parents brought up to be seen and not heard and the pendulum has slipped too far the other way. The parents don’t have the skills because they were never taught them. They don’t make boundaries for themselves because they don’t know how and they are also unable to instil safe healthy boundaries for their children. They also don’t have the emotional literacy to listen to their children, to hear their frustration without it ending up in another argument and, in the end, they just give up. All parents aren’t like this of course but the parents of the ones running riot will almost certainly be.
  13. 16 points
    Well I for one welcome having something well organised on the Island for a change.
  14. 16 points
    I expect the protest will be in front of the U.S. Embassy in Douglas - otherwise an IOM protest about police brutality in Murrica makes no sense except as a virtue signalling snowstorm. In other news (saw this on a graph earlier) , in 2018 the USA had around fifty thousand white on black violent crimes, compared with four hundred thousand black on black and around 550,000 black on white violent crimes. ALL Lives Matter!
  15. 16 points
    I hope that no one forgets that it wasn't very long ago that that wonderful human being William Henderson MLC wrote a 30 page essay on why he couldn't live on less than £50000 per year. That is the attitude that is going to have to change.
  16. 16 points
    nor do i, it is the coming back that fucks me off.
  17. 16 points
    The Manx Radio interview is classic Howard Quayle in managing to make even giving out money to the needy look bad. It's also noticeable just how slow they have been about this 'emergency' - the flooding was two weeks ago but the announcement was only on Friday - ten days later. And to get this miserly payment you need to download and print off a form and fill it in and take it to Treasury, when they will eventually send you a cheque, providing you fulfil the long list of conditions they have attached to the form. Given that (according to Quayle) there are only about 15 households affected, you would have thought they could have sent someone up straight away to get things done as quickly as possible and it would have been a good excuse to get some feedback on people's needs and situations. Instead a whole unfriendly bureaucracy has to be erected and everything slowed down as much as possible. The way the residents of Laxey have been treated makes an interesting contrast to another weather-related 'disaster' almost exactly a year previously. Then the feeling that it had been a little dry that summer and some farmers' profits might be affected was enough for Tynwald to splash the cash with great enthusiasm (about £1.2 million). Though even some actual farmers couldn't see the need for it. But presumably some wealthy landowner in receipt of countryside payments had complained that they might have to pay a bit more to feed their horse, so of course the money was available for the truly needy in our society.
  18. 15 points
    There are a couple of subtly different issues here. I would not so much condemn them had they done so temporarily and put out a statement to the effect that the suspension was pending the outcome of the independent enquiry, full stop. This I would accept as protecting their legitimate commercial interest. They didn't. They immediately jumped aboard the manufactured bandwagon of outrage by putting out a statement distancing themselves from the programme and Stu Peters: ’For those people who heard the show, we wanted to publicly address what was said and make it clear that we in NO WAY condone the comments that were made or support the presenter’s view in any way. ’As a result of what was said we have decided to pull our sponsorship of that programme from this evening. Thank you to the people who have spoken up and brought this to our attention.’ This could be construed as meaning that Stu Peters had made racist comments when he did no such thing. They had no legitimacy in issuing a corporate verdict on Stu Peters, thereby prejudging the outcome of the investigation. That is my problem with what they have done. Manx Radio should also have told them in no uncertain terms to butt out. No commercial news organisation or broadcaster should tolerate a client publicly interfering with or commenting on non-commercial content.
  19. 15 points
    @Josem - I offered to talk to you about the methodology behind the modelling, but was not prepared to share the spreadsheet as it’s a working calculator, which depending on input variables could generate all sorts of outcomes which could easily be misused. You never replied and instead put in an FOI request. The modelling was done about 8 weeks ago and its predictions were used to inform planning, mainly at the hospital, and to illustrate to the decision makers how serious the situation could get if significant measures weren’t put in place. It was a ‘plan for the worst, hope for the best’ approach, and in fact the lockdown (and most likely the border closure) has resulted in the island being in a much better place than we expected. The modelling (ie the graphs etc) is no longer being used to inform policy - how could it? Cases are now the odd one every other day or so. Instead we’re monitoring and tracing, and watching the rest of the world to try and get the lockdown released as quickly as it is safe to do so. You need to look up what eradication means. There’s only one disease ever been eradicated and that’s smallpox. We can’t eradicate covid. We can perhaps eliminate it, and pretty much have - it is certainly containable. While it’s still however endemic in the adjacent isle we are likely to continue to get cases pop up here and there as there’s still a bit of travel - patient transfers etc. It’s very easy in hindsight to say things should have been done differently. The government clearly should have borrowed your time machine to see how things were going to be and acted earlier. If I recall correctly at the start of March most people were saying how cancelling TT would be ridiculous, rather than calling for the borders to be shut.
  20. 15 points
    To be fair, I used to design, validate and deploy DNA tests for ssRNA viruses for the entirety of UK DEFRA plant health and food security. It was only for around 13 years so I suppose I know sod all about anything. We used to run 20,000 tests per week with the set-up we had at DEFRA so - right now - 200 ssRNA Coronavirus tests per days seems like small-fry. Some of my contemporaries are running the "Lighthouse Labs" in the UK. But because I'm from the IoM and returned to the IoM with my "skillz" I must know stuff all. God, I love Manx Forums. It's right up my street
  21. 15 points
    Pull up a sandbag, and I’ll tell you why.... I’ve been visiting the Island since 1991,and lived here since 1998. I put my heart and soul into keeping it safe. My kids grew up here, and are better people for it. I like the community, the safety and the general pace of the place. It is also incredibly beautiful. But, Over this time I’ve become acutely aware of how it works. And the answer to that is ‘not well’. When we were being propped up with a couple of hundred million from the UK, it wasn’t too bad. But we got ahead of ourselves. We thought we were doing really well, and everything was rosy. Instead of a reality check, the fast and loose approach with public finances took hold. Inane capital projects were matched with the likes of speculation on moving pictures. In amongst all this, there was a failure to modernize government. It continued to bloat functionally, and continued with a political structure which doesn’t fit the modern world. Where else, other than perhaps in areas where there are indigenous tribes, see 22 local councils? Alongside, our key industry, finance, has contracted as the world’s attitiute to offshore has changed. The model is in reality as seventies as Simon Templar, XJS Jags and roll neck sweaters. And the following sector of e-gaming looks flaky at best even in the medium term, with other more ballsy jurisdictions such as Malta vacuuming up business. And then we look at that comparator with Malta more closely. Surely we can compete? They are just a little Island like us? The truth is we can’t. They operate within the EU. We don’t. They have the economies of scale that come with a population of over 400,000.we don’t. The list goes on. Many years ago, the reasons for which I cannot recall, I was sat in Annie Craine’s kitchen having a brew. She was a minister then. I remember saying to her that it was very important that the Isle of Man didn’t just become ‘a nice place to live’. Today, I think we are at that crossroads. We can continue with this micro-nation approach. But with the assault on reserves that is about to occur, we must be realistic that Future Mann is one of higher taxes, and reduced services. And all this will be against a backdrop of new intelligence, where businesses and potential residents will see the vulnerabilities of isolation laid bare. Rebuilding from that will be incredibly tough, and no matter how bullish we are, I question the ability of Government to do so. We’ve been struggling to develop and diversify the economy as it is. Why should we expect it to be any different post-Covid. It’s a perfect storm of our own level of sophistication alongside a very different economic world picture. The alternative is some comfort and security, by drawing closer into the United Kingdom. A more realistic perspective of the context of a dispersed population of 80’000 in the middle of the Irish Sea. A new tax structure that will little affect anyone earning less than £40,000. The possibility of subsidies on our ferry route, much as the Scottish Government does with its Islands, to stimulate the visitor economy and ease the isolation of their residents. An opening up of our utilities and telecoms markets, reducing the cost of living for many. Investment where it matters to make the Island part of the powerhouse that the UK now needs to become on the world stage. And the oversight of a government that despite the hardship, can ride out future crises like this one, with The certainty there will be more. And throughout all this, although the Island would have ostensibly just become that ‘nice place to live’ of which I forewarned, it would be a more stable one, and more likely to be able to sustain its future, and protect all that is dear to it. I’d hope that many of our indigenous brethren would agree, that there’s a lot more to being ‘Manx’ than a fragile independence. It’s the same as being Cornish, as a comparator. Something which is in your blood, your DNA, and something that can never be denied of them. It’s a very emotive and important debate. But it’s one we must have. We would simply not survive another pandemic in economic let alone humanitarian terms.
  22. 15 points
    Did I tell you about a time when Bill saved the day? A load of us, including Bill, were on the red-eye patient transfer to various specialists in Liverpool hospitals, more than half of us including Mrs Q were having procedures. It's a long day doing this, tiring, we all just wanted to get home. When we were collected, and returned to John Lennon, after standing around for ages, Flybe, without warning, cancelled the flight! We were dumbfounded and immediately some of us began ringing the Steam Packet to see about catching the ferry. This resulted in either an unanswered call or engaged tone, for what seemed like forever. Some people were panicking, one woman had had a painful eye procedure. The situation was tense. A mother whose daughter had received treatment declared she had no money and as most of us, totally unprepared for this eventuality. Suddenly Bill got through on the phone and proceeded to take our names and book all of us on the ferry and paid for the whole bally lot of us, using his personal credit card. The relief in our little group was palpable. Bill once again dipped in his pocket to buy refreshments on the ferry for the skint and exhausted mother and daughter. He didn't have to do any of this. Granted, he was able to claim the expenses back, eventually, but the point is, he was decent enough to step up to the mark when needed. Changed my opinion of him there and then. He was suffering himself too, that day. It might've been the day he'd received some bad news. Anyway, cheers Billy...
  23. 15 points
    Rhetorical on your part I suspect Roger, but let me answer anyway: Because he’s an Olympic standard twat.
  24. 14 points
    I'll put a big disclaimer here that I'm not the person who decides who gets tested and when. Saying that, I am a scientist who understands that if you test someone on the day they arrive and their exposure to the virus was at on the way to the ferry/plane, that test is going to come up negative because no test in the world can give a result based on exposure. The test is for actual infection, whether symptomatic or asymptomatic. So let's say that we test everyone on arrival. We end up giving out a large number of negative results to people who are going to be going into isolation for at least 7 days anyway. Here's where the psychology comes in, and you'll have to ask yourselves how you would behave if someone said you tested negative for COVID19 the day you arrived. Would you stick to strict isolation even though you have a negative test result from your arrival test? I'd bet that there's a good number in the population who would be a little less strict with themselves because they've been told they're negative. Now, if one of those people tests negative at the border and then develops an asymptomatic infection, or goes out the day before they develop symptoms, then we'd have a significant community transmission on our hands and we'd be back to square one. If we tested on arrival and there was no isolation period at all we would have a fairly serious problem rather quickly. It only takes one asymptomatic person to start a community transmission chain and we'd be back in lockdown. Just because this hasn't happened in Jersey doesn't mean that it won't. It means Jersey have been very, very lucky (so far). This is why testing on day 7 of isolation is a good risk-based compromise as if someone is exposed in the week before travelling (or even on the day of travel) there's a significant chance that they'll test positive on day 7. They would likely test negative on arrival and that's nothing to do with the testing methodology but just the basic biology of how viral infections proceed.
  25. 14 points
    To be fair, the majority probably do sympathise with anti-racism, I do. Do I sympathise with this bunch as they are currently positioning themselves? No. Do I think there is racism on the island? Probably there is passive or latent racism but it will manifest itself as ignoramuses being mean and insulting, nothing like the actions that sparked the BLM movement in the US. The US has it's own peculiarities, such as gun ownership, militarization of the police and systems that do inherently seem to prejudice black people, but it is not necessarily all one-sided as many black American commentators observe. More generally, Stephen Fry is worth a watch. Search YouTube for his recent interview on the Rubin Report where he refers to infantalism as being an issue. He describes it as people not taking responsibility for themselves in a mature way, ie not being adult and carrying victimhood as an issue for someone else to solve. He makes some controversial statements, but the underlying sentiment resonates. If you want to characterise yourself as a victim with no power over your own destiny, like a child, that is how you will stay. If an organisation reinforces that infantalism ( and the Marxist view on collectivism certainly could be argued to do just that) rather than empowering people ( ie telling them to grow up and take control of their own life), it will perpetuate inferiority. The answer to racism lies with both the individual and the state. The latter to make sure its systems do not inherently prejudice any sector of its population, and the individual to take responsibility to do the best for themselves within the system. I probably will have a barrage now, but it is worth just thinking about.
  26. 14 points
    Several things strike me about that letter: 1. It wasn't Stu's comments that have caused the backlash, but the vindictive campaign. There have been no racist comments on social media merely many people questioning the motives of this group. 2. Stu did not laugh at them, clearly it was at the inability to get a word in edge ways. 3. Again, it is anonymous. Who is this group? Are they like the Hardy Commission (will that name) who have written to the Dept of Ed to demand that anti racism is taught in our schools? When asked who they were and who gave them their "Commission" they do not reply. 4. They talk about tokenism, which is risible given that they are demanding a token sacking in recompense. 5. They need to drop their poster boy, who has turned out to be a bit of a liability. 6. There has been a process, but they are not happy with the outcome. Shame. Is it because they were wrong, or because there is inherent racism in our systems? 7. It is starting to border on harassment and defamation. Not the actions of a peaceful organisation.
  27. 14 points
    Of course they should reinstate him. They should have shown some backbone and not suspended him in the first place. Very weak leadership in the face of the hysterical followers of a cabal on social media.
  28. 14 points
    It's a shame that some of us on here have been so equivocal and not given him greater support. I'm not part of the fan club and I rarely listened to the show, but he didn't say anything wrong; or as some have suggested, dig a hole for himself. He was ambushed by a couple of righteous true believers and handled it very fairly and very well. He could easily have put his foot in it - but he didn't. I'm a bit surprised that the support is so tepid.
  29. 14 points
    I do find it all a bit uncomfortable when people are going round every link on Facebook encouraging people to complain about it. If the people who listened thought it was worth complaining about then absolutely crack on but this whipping people up into a frenzy to make an issue of something before they have independently made their own mind up is a bit wrong.
  30. 14 points
    Just to get back to B and Q (boo hiss bring back Feltons to Peel) and to put a bit of a smile on your face and warmth in your hearts. A forum member previously unknown to me went to B and Q today and got the cement I needed for my stonework job and left it outside my house. Isn't that lovely? We're a lovely lot during a global pandemic.
  31. 14 points
    Thread not locked. Just @dilligaf and @Mr Newbie on lockdown for a while. £855 charge for 14 days. Dick1 + Dick2 = suspension
  32. 14 points
    There's a huge amount of conspiracy madness appearing in this thread - test bed for vaccine, military take-over etc - please can we stop. The real situation is perfectly clear and reasonable. I'll try to explain. First the 'curves' which everyone seems to talk about, but few probably understand. The curves are just a continuous mathematical model of how many positive tests you may see on a given day, based on an exponential growth function (which decreases as a higher proportion of the at risk population get infected). The three curves you see on the government site are based on an initial growth of 20%, 12% and 8% respectively. Why those figures? Initially we used 29% as the 'worse case' scenario because that was what was seen in Italy and Spain, approximately. We changed to 20% because that is what we saw here, before the effects of the lockdown came in. If you construct a log plot of total cases it has a relatively sharp decrease in slope on 3rd April. Before then our growth rate was 20%. This was then used as the figure for the 'worse case' scenario. 12% was based on growth in Germany - something we thought achievable - and 8% was based on a rough calculation of what you might get if the R0 value was halved. The middle scenario was used to guide the hospital's readiness plans. What we've actually seen is closer to the 8% curve - in fact lower. 6.4% is today's calculation, even including the Abbotswood cases. Without that outbreak it's lower still. So we're now confident that the health service has the capacity to cope. The next question is how do you get out of lockdown. We can't stay like this forever - nobody wants to I don't think, and we can't afford to. Keep it up and we'll run out of money. So there has to be, at some stage, a progressive return to work. Start with lowest risk highest value - still make sense? That's building which combines high economic value with low risk. Add in gardening, window cleaning etc - low risk, not really high value in macro-economic terms, but low risk. Timing - from an economic perspective the sooner the better. From a health perspective - cases are so low now with the measures in place that if that growth rate picks up a bit the health service will still cope. Managing a pandemic is hard. There isn't a textbook telling you what to do at each stage, and even deciding which stage you're in is impossible apart from retrospectively. Lockdown for a long time will be damaging to the health of the island as much as, and probably more so, than covid. It's quite conceivable that it's a choice between deaths from covid now, or more deaths from cancer in 6-12 months (screening has been suspended, chemotherapy isn't being started in all cases etc). I think the message coming out today is sensible, reasonable and as evidence-based as it's possible to be. But rest assured we'll be watching the situation closely. The CM is absolutely right that these decisions are supported by the island's medics - we've been discussing the plans for a week or so in advance of today's announcement. This has not been driven by Dandara and made up on the spot by the CM, as some seem to be suggesting.
  33. 14 points
    Being taught to knock a tune out on something and understand the rudiments of musical notation is a fine gift that will enrich the lives of any children exposed to it. As others have opined, I'd cancel RE before I'd touch music.
  34. 14 points
    Jesus h christ alfuckingmighty mary mother of the holy ghost Mohammed and Joseph. I leave you fucking IMBECILES in charge of the place whilst I embark upon a spot of well earned gardening leave ( full pay minus new subscriber bonus). Decided to make use of my time by going on a bit of a world tour, get away from the pressures of always being forced to come up with solutions for other people's problems. Started in china, followed the silk road, couple of cruises then the big apple, finishing off with a tour of Europe's cities of culture. Arrived back early last week to find the place in total lockdown. Not that I'm complaining about the lockdown, should at least give me the chance to shift this persistent cough I been carrying round for 4 or 5 weeks now. Absolute fucking imbeciles the lot of you. I'm home now, I'll sort it. As usual. Jesus fucking christ almighty
  35. 14 points
    It's not almost impossible to police at all. Take a walk out, how many people do you see flouting the restrictions really? Christ, to read on here you'd think it was armageddon out there. Whenever I've been out for a walk everyone walks a safe distance away, nods politely and goes on there way. Even queuing for the supermarket it's perfectly civilised and orderly. People need to appreciate virtually the whole island is off work at the minute and they all need fresh air at some point, there is a whole island to go for a walk and get some exercise so let people use it, let's not get all Stasi about it.
  36. 13 points
    In his speech today Skelly said "19th March first case on the Isle of Man; 1st April first death on the Island. stop. pause" thus reading out his cue to stop and pause. Simply amazing.
  37. 13 points
    I've explained this before Derek. From a friend working for a firm who is responsible for lots of services , not Auldyn etc , while they had a concept plan from day one ie what the finished job would look like they didnt have detail plans for contractors to be able to work too. So because of this it was literally a day to day operation to keep the contractors occupied till infrastructure plans were issued. Hence what we saw early in with the jumping of work areas and from a initial plan of work being abandoned and no structure to works. Also hence why there was very few men on the job. Been a mess from day one . Clearly it shoukd have moved progressivly along the prom from one direction and one side at a time. Now we are left with a clusterfuck and total carnage . DOI ! ! Most in the know knew this woukd be a disaster .
  38. 13 points
    It would be stupid of Manx Radio to do anything other than reinstate Stu after this process. That's what it's for. He's been suspended, investigated, and now cleared. He should get his job back on Monday, giving a few days cooling off now that they have the report. That would be the sensible course of action. If he doesn't, then whatever his contract with the station, I would think he has some grounds for legal recourse. Let's hope it doesn't have to go down that route.
  39. 13 points
    Mental health services are under stress, and just like in the UK it is failing to spool up for the pandemic of mental health that has been developing for years. But more than this, one of the missing provisions is a properly resourced social care service. From my policing days, when people came to our notice and were detained for assessment, they were often just released back into the community with varying degrees of follow up referral. In other words, they weren’t mentally ill. What they did need was a level of support to help them cope better with life. Because that wasn’t there they would ping pong between ourselves and MH. An eventual outcome would be either criminal charges or admission for treatment. That is just wrong. Life can be tough to deal with, and we aren’t all resiliently equipped. For some it really isn’t a case of manning up. They genuinely do need help in navigating their existence. We need to accept this costs money in the long term, but it is still cheaper than the other two outcomes. It is also the right thing to do.
  40. 13 points
    yet still Dandara and others continue to tear up our irreplaceable green fields for ugly new housing developments. I wonder how quickly the £300k boxes being thrown up in Ballasalla will sell?
  41. 13 points
    This is the most hilarious thing I've seen in days. We actually printed this out, laminated it and put it on the door to the containment lab that the coronavirus testing is being carried out in. I'm tempted to call the ABI 7500 machine we're using the "Covidometer 3000" (currently called Mike-or-Rona) and give it a name-badge. Epic.
  42. 13 points
    So... let me explain The lab starts testing at 8am (ish) with all the hospital admissions from the previous afternoon and overnight. Those tests have results by about 5-6pm (ish) provided they weren't too snotty and needed extra processing which delays them a little. While they are being processed we also start processing a second batch which includes the morning hospital admissions and the grandstand (community) tests which arrive early afternoon. These are started in a second batch of testing which ultimately runs overnight and those results are ready about 9am (ish). Hope that helps the speculation This is a different set of timings than when results appeared electronically from PHE in Manchester, so it's taken a bit of time for the stats people to get used to the different reporting times (give them a chance, it's only day 3 of local testing).
  43. 13 points
    If anyone in your household is socialising with friends / relations from another house hold, please ask them to stop now.
  44. 13 points
    As a cyclist who has played a reasonably significant part in the cycling community in recent years my take is... STAY AT HOME! Trying to justify exceptions for one activity over another is not what everyone should be doing at the moment. The authorities, experts, police etc have made it clear that they want people to stay in as much as possible. An hour outside doing the permitted activities is enough. The self isolation argument falls down when every man and his dog drags a bike out the shed and the place ends up like Box Hill on a summer weekend. In so doing there will be more accidents and more contact. Then the walkers will want to stay out, then the runnefs and before you know it every mother fucker is outside enjoying a 6 hour leg stretch. It is currently a 21 day lockdown FFS just play the game that the authorities want and stop bellyaching and spouting self indignant justification for your own activities exception!
  45. 13 points
    With all this lock-down bollocks in the UK my friend is cooped up at home and has had to start talking to his wife. He’s just found out that she was made redundant by Woolworths.
  46. 13 points
    A bloke spent a lot of his own money at Jurby and has had some tremendous stuff up there, like the Joey Dunlop exhibition, and the wall of bikes. why do we have to spaff taxpayers money on this?
  47. 13 points
    This morning I received the results from the genetic sequencing bone marrow tests performed in mid October, and the blood samples taken at Nobles last week. No Leukaemia mutation detectable and all bloods within normal range. Only 09.15 and that made me smile today.
  48. 13 points
    Never has so much been squandered by so many for the benefit of so few. The ONLY reason IOMG has declared this climate emergency (whilst the scientists are now saying it's nothing of the kind) is because someone mentioned to Howard and Geoffrey that the young people and usual disagreeable suspects were getting quite militant about it. Which means it's important to virtue signal about 'our planet' in the run up to the next election or risk losing votes. 14,500 FTE civil servants could be tasked with the 'climate emergency' and it wouldn't make a single jot of difference to climate change. Are our lot expecting - with all this research - to find statistics that differ from all the others around the world employed on this fool's errand? It's time to draw a line under this misuse of resources or we'll all end up in mud huts eating lentils and walking to the food bank (all the jobs will have been exported to China and India where energy is still cheap). There is apparently climate change, that much I will concede. Without the benefit of a Master's Degree in Russian Folk Dance I reckon it's a mostly natural cycle, and any man-made component will dwindle anyway as people move to electric cars, cleaner tech and less pollution. Global warming will mean we need to burn less to stay warm in the winters and will improve food yields. To add insult to injury I see the Manx Labour Party's green commisar is saying we shouldn't cash in on the £100m royalties the offshore gas field could provide. Assuming we could stop the MHK's spending it on themselves or their vainglorious ego projects, that's a lot of healthcare or education provision that the MLP thinks should be left in the ground. I expect they've had a quinoa overdose. We need to stop this madness. The only IOMG response to climate change should be how to deal with it, and since no bugger can be sure which hypothesis to believe between ice age and immolation, even that is a bit premature.
  49. 13 points
    In so far as that means anything I would translate it as "Required: champion bullshitter to try to convince e-gaming and other industries on the Island that the DfE knows what it is doing and is doing something to help them. You will have no power to actually change anything, so we are paying you a lot of money to act as a buffer between the DfE hierarchy and the real world. There's not much you can do in a year and I wonder if this is designed as a nice little earner for a mate at a loose end.
  50. 13 points
    That is one of the good things about Manx Forums. In between all the critique, rants and insults, someone takes the time to write something really amusing. Well done!
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