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Roger Mexico

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Everything posted by Roger Mexico

  1. It was at 3.30 pm yesterday. The PAC interviewed Magson separately first at 2.30 pm (presumably remotely) - the old police trick of questioning the suspects separately. Ashford's evidence is here: https://www.tynwald.org.im/business/listen/AgainFiles/pac210512a2.mp3 (It will take forever for Hansard to come out - Rachel Glover's session still hasn't been produced yet - not for that matter has April Tynwald which will take priority). As you say Dr Glover was not impressed: I haven't listened to the evidence as yet, though anyone who has listened open-jawed to m
  2. But Germans and Brits aren't sold the same mix of hotels and resorts. So even a lot of demand from Germany (and of course Shengen means that they can move around Europe without restriction) won't automatically fill all the stock they have on offer. So they need to try and scare the Brits into booking now.
  3. It hasn't really been proved at all. There are three possible causes of the reduction in the UK: vaccination, lockdowns and the coming of Summer (coronavirus infections tend to peak in January/February). In reality the reduction is probably due to a mixture of all three. After all with no vaccinations, the levels dropped right down last Summer only to rise again in the Autumn. As someone kindly reminded us above, you only have to look to the Seychelles to see that vaccination isn't an automatic way of stopping the virus. They have very high rates of vaccination: 98% of the targeted po
  4. You're talking about different things. It might well be that given a private vote in a referendum, that Manx residents might reject the TT 80%-20%[1]. But if that 20% were so strongly in favour that they would refuse to vote for a candidate who agreed with the 80%, then candidates will be wary about supporting stopping the TT. Particularly if they think that the 80% won't let that single topic dictate their choice. Because in that case they will definitely lose 20% of their potential voters, while only picking up a few because of the stand they have taken. So both things might be tru
  5. I can well believe that Quayle and the Deadbeat Bloc (those who are only interested in the perks of being a Minister rather than actually doing the job) would use a majority in CoMin to prevent scrutiny and stop things happening, but in the end Cannan has sat there and agreed for five years. He can't now start complaining that "A big boy did it and he ran away". If they had fought for change, they could have made in more obvious and brought political pressure to make it happen. If that failed they could have forced Quayle to sack them - which would probably have brought down CoMin. In
  6. Cannan has been Treasury Minister for the last five years. Shimmins has been a Departmental Member of Treasury for the same period. If they had wanted to do anything together about the situation of the government, they could have done so. Or resigned in disgust when they were prevented from doing so. And then opposed all the spendthrift nonsense from the backbenches. The fact they did nothing and said very little specific during all that period suggests that if promoted they would continue on in the same way - taking the money and doing whatever their civil service 'handlers' tell the
  7. Ironically a single (or at least singly-taxed) person earning £44,000 is actually the most highly taxed person on the Island in percentage terms. They pay about 21.2% of their income in Income Tax and NI. Earn more than that and the percentage drops very slightly and slowly, though always above 21% - until you reach the tax cap (effectively income over £1 million) when the percentage plummets. And finlo is correct about the amount of Income Tax a singly-assessed person would pay. Assuming no other allowances at £40,000 I reckon it would be £4500 tax and £3610.64 a year. Obviously if t
  8. Or it may be a timing thing. Although they aren't published till 4 pm, the dashboard figures represent the previous day's situation. So if someone dies early on the following day they won't be included. This happened a few times before when they actually announced deaths, but those didn't show upon the dashboard until they adjusted the figures later on. But it could be what you suggest. 'Recovered but dead from it' would be a fairly insulting way to describe a case, but it's effectively what England has been doing with the 28 day rule.
  9. There's a danger here though (as with avoidance/evasion) of circular definition. Something counts as hobby trading because it isn't liable for tax - and it isn't liable for tax because it's hobby trading. But the question is still in what circumstances trading stops being classed as 'hobby'. Case in the UK such as Salt v Chamberlain and more recently Manzur v Revenue & Customs [2010] seem to take quite a lot of notice of the number of transactions, about one a week in the first and 200-300 a year in the latter. If people are going much over that and depending on other indicators it
  10. Fags and booze is perfect because nearly all the money returns to the Treasury in those circumstances. Think how much doesn't by keeping other drugs illegal. To return to the main topic, the Isle of Man is at 20 in the Tax Justice Network Corporate Tax Haven Index: https://cthi.taxjustice.net/en/ Down from #17 in 2019.
  11. Which, like most psychological 'facts' that get used in business is a load of old bollocks. To quote Wiki: On his website, Mehrabian [to whom the 'rule' is attributed] clearly states: Total Liking = 7% Verbal Liking + 38% Vocal Liking + 55% Facial Liking. Please note that this and other equations regarding relative importance of verbal and nonverbal messages were derived from experiments dealing with communications of feelings and attitudes (i.e., like–dislike). Unless a communicator is talking about their feelings or attitudes, these equations are not applicable.
  12. But that rather implies that 'hobby traders' such as @trmpton are operating as proper traders as they are certainly intending to make a profit. And so they would have to be taxed as such. Obviously the same would apply to stocks and shares and not just cryptocurrencies and possibly even to hardware hobbies - where the objects of trade are rare vinyl or cigarette cards or Old Master paintings. To some extent this is another example of the law not really catching up with the internet which allows much greater ease of trading for all such things, so that amateurs can behave as professional
  13. There's a certain irony in this coming from a President who was a Senator for Delaware for 36 years.
  14. To be fair, if you look at her 'political' Facebook, although the latest post is about Cretney, most aren't. I actually think she'd be wise to mention him as little as possible, given the MLP dwindled away under him to practically nothing[1]. But family is family. [1] I remember a comment fairly recently that the MLP was on its way and had doubled its membership - to 35! It had been a small Cretters fan club and nothing else and has only really come back to life.
  15. That's all true but it wasn't what I (or I think wrighty) was talking about. The person with the maximum time to be seen will almost certainly be low priority and not in pain and difficult to get hold of to boot. Their referral won't be lost because then they wouldn't be there at all. It may even be a mistake with a date being entered wrongly. Extreme values are by definition atypical and a truer picture of the real situation can be got by looking at averages and other measures such as percentiles. So Manx Radio were looking at the wrong thing. These are just waiting times to be
  16. Well it's good know that some people believe that the Manx Government behaves like a criminal organisation. (Though obviously much less efficiently. If the DoI did drug deals everything would cost £10.000 a gramme and take three years to arrive).
  17. It would be unwise to assume that there was any thinking behind the use of the Airport for a vaccination hub other than the DoI thinking: "What's the best way to give our mates some nice juicy contracts for something unnecessary? While we swan around looking important". It is after all the only possible rationale behind practically everything else that the DoI has done over the last decade and more. Everything else should be expected to fit in round that.
  18. Yes, after 159 years we might get back the money that's gone to pay for the Liverpool Landing Stage.
  19. There probably should be a light green dot in the Irish Sea for the Nobles Path Lab, but as we're not NHS/PHE, it wasn't included.
  20. The maximum waiting time is always a silly measure to take. All that has happened is that Manx Radio have looked at the tables and picked the biggest number they could see, so as to be dramatic. As it happens the speciality with longest time waiting for a first appointment [1] in days (1751) is Endocrinology, which also has the highest average (755) but in other departments the discrepancy is more marked. Diabetic medicine has a maximum of 1673, but an average of only 224. [1] Manx Radio internet people: make you links more helpful by using "#page=" to stop your readers ha
  21. Presumably it was a variant on this map from the COG-UK website: Which includes Liverpool University which our samples currently go through. There are a number of Trusts who are members, so I can't see why DHSC couldn't be. There might be a bit of legal adjustment required, but some of that had to be sorted out anyway when Rachel was involved so the sending of samples to Liverpool was regularised.
  22. Actually you're both right. The point is that Public Health jobs like this are a bargain. Medical professionals have input into the decision-making process at a high level, but in turn they have to agree with whatever that process eventually comes up with. The only way you can disagree is to make faces at media briefings.
  23. Actually it can happen for two reasons. It could be decreased capacity - they can do fewer procedures in a period from now on because of Covid restrictions, UK specialists less able to come over and treat, difficulty obtaining off-Island appointments and so on. Or it could be increased demand - more people wanting treatment on Island. This isn't necessarily because more are ill, but because people who may have had private treatment elsewhere no longer have that option. As usual it's probably a bit of both.
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