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Newbie

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  1. The DHSC employs about 3,500 people. The majority, but not all, of those are frontline, but the figure for frontline care workers would also include private care homes, private providers of community care in peoples homes, private dentists, community pharmacists etc which are not included in that 3,500, so a total of 3,200 frontline care staff may not be far off the mark. Whether you feel that they should be vaccinated ahead of over 80's is another matter. I know several people over 80 who say that it is correct that care workers get vaccinated first.
  2. I think that is generally true for weekday evenings and weekend days and evenings, but not overnight. They certainly could be clearer about that! (Answered before I read Balladoc's full explanation above!)
  3. I don't think it can be proved either way, but it was felt by Public Health that the most likely explanation for the outbreak was that the person who went on to test positive probably didn't have it at the time they arrived on the island and went in to isolation. They probably caught it from one of the other people isolating with them, and therefore they were not at day 21 of their own illness when they developed symptoms and tested positive. It makes a difference because the chances of being infectious 21 days after catching COVID are very low indeed - much lower than the false negative rate
  4. I presumed it was 700 people a week returning, each having 3 tests. Normally they would pay £50 per test so 700 x £150 is £105,000 a week. Assuming 4 weeks in a month = £420,000 per month Some people may currently choose not to have a test and isolate for 21 days, but that is unlikely if they don't have to pay for the tests.
  5. I think that is what he meant isn't it. Once the lockdown here is over, and assuming they then start relaxing the border controls, they are expecting the number of people going over to and then returning from the UK to go back up again. They are probably right about that. 600-700 a week wouldn't be that surprising if residents were allowed to come and go without restriction - especially if the government is paying for the tests.
  6. More infectious may well be useful to a virus, but more deadly often isn't. If it kills its host more reliably and more quickly, it is less likely to be passed on to another host.
  7. The strategy should certainly work well for those lucky enough to get 2 doses at a 21 day interval. It won't work as well for those vulnerable individuals that remain unvaccinated for a lot longer due to a lack of vaccine. It all depends on the supply of vaccine available in the early stages of the roll out.
  8. That is good to see but sadly for them they also have 4 times the death rate we have, so I guess we must be doing something right
  9. For the vast majority of people, with limited understanding of genomics (myself included), it does seem as though early availability of genome sequencing data might sometimes prove to be a useful adjunct to the contact tracing procedure, although how useful is difficult to say as most of us have little idea of exactly what problems the contact tracers face. All the same, it surely makes sense to use any advantage that we might be able to get in fighting the current pandemic. Having said that, Dr Ewart, who generally seems to have a good command of the facts and figures, is quite clear tha
  10. I suspect that their answer will be that all positive results are sent to Liverpool for genetic analysis, and that they are a part of the UK system. Whilst that may be helpful at an international level to understand how the virus is evolving, it misses the point about the value of genome sequencing in understanding local outbreaks.....provided that the results are timely.
  11. I thought that returning travellers were no longer allowed to isolate with their family unless the family had travelled with them, in which case they would have been described as returning travellers themselves rather than close contacts of a returning traveller
  12. I take your point there, but the response that I was commenting upon was answering the question whether any of today's positive results were people who were already in isolation as a result of high risk contacts through either St Mary's or Truth Wine bar. I was just pointing out that the contact tracers would know whether todays positives were already self isolating and if they were they would know why they were self isolating without the need for genome sequencing. I can absolutely see the role for that, but suggesting that it was needed to answer this particular query seemed to be pushing it
  13. PM should have asked him whether there will be any first doses delivered between the end of next week and Feb 15th which is the date he had been given as the earliest available for over 80's. I suspect not as it seems likely that those 3 weeks are reserved for giving second doses to the people from the first 3 weeks.
  14. The contact tracers and people who organised the tests could also tell us without the need for genome testing. I am not saying that genome sequencing doesn't have it's place, but not in answering this particular query
  15. Absolutely they have the right to kick off. I suspect it won't do them any good as the answer will be that it is an inevitable consequence of the vaccine properties and the manufacturer's instructions. If we get 1 tray of Pfizer vaccine a week (which we appear to do) and it has to be used within 5 days of being defrosted, then sticking to the 21 day dose interval means that it is inevitable that by week 4 you are committed to start re-vaccinating the people done in weeks 1 to 3, and you won't have any vaccine to deliver any first doses during that time. Hopefully, increasing supplies in due co
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