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Posted

It's a Category 5 major hurricane. Madness. Beaten all the models for how fast it has intensified, and how far the pressure has fallen. Incredible stuff.

Posted
16 hours ago, TheTeapot said:

It's a Category 5 major hurricane. Madness. Beaten all the models for how fast it has intensified, and how far the pressure has fallen. Incredible stuff.

It's nearing the limit of what is mathematically/atmospherically possible.  Tiny eye only 3 miles across. 

Posted
5 hours ago, The Phantom said:

It's nearing the limit of what is mathematically/atmospherically possible.  Tiny eye only 3 miles across. 

It's more like a pacific typhoon than an atlantic hurricane. If it hasn't already it'll replace that eyewall, and expand its windfield. Some potential for it to go through two replacements. 

Posted
58 minutes ago, TheTeapot said:

It's more like a pacific typhoon than an atlantic hurricane. If it hasn't already it'll replace that eyewall, and expand its windfield. Some potential for it to go through two replacements. 

Are they bigger/stronger over that side?  To be honest I only really follow the Hurricanes as their remnants often spin up to us.

I saw people in the US Met suggesting that it might be worth creating a new Category 6 for this monster. 

Posted
2 minutes ago, The Phantom said:

Are they bigger/stronger over that side?  To be honest I only really follow the Hurricanes as their remnants often spin up to us.

I saw people in the US Met suggesting that it might be worth creating a new Category 6 for this monster. 

Bigger/stronger is a difficult thing with storms. Like, Milton has already been stronger than Helene was but it is (currently) loads smaller. The tiny eye, or pinhole, is more typical of typhoons than hurricanes, even though they are both the same thing. No need for a cat 6, you can't get more catastrophic than catastrophic.

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Posted
13 minutes ago, TheTeapot said:

No need for a cat 6, you can't get more catastrophic than catastrophic.

Dunno, you can always turn the dial up to 11. 

Posted

Well that's quite a mess over in Florida. Storm track was south of Tampa so they fortunately didn't get the surge, but devastation is still widespread across the state. They had a whole load of tornados prior to landfall too. 

Posted
12 hours ago, TheTeapot said:

Well that's quite a mess over in Florida. Storm track was south of Tampa so they fortunately didn't get the surge, but devastation is still widespread across the state. They had a whole load of tornados prior to landfall too. 

If you ask me, the got away with it. Milton was cat 1 or 2 late last week but merged with a tropical depression which intensified it to cat 5. However, the temperature of the Gulf (27C) could not sustain it at this time of year. Pressure rose almost as quickly as it fell. Milton was cat 2 by the time it made landfall, and dropped to cat 1 almost straight away as the sea was no longer there to feed it. Land resistance also played its part. 
Six more weeks of hurricane season, but over cooling waters. It is unlikely there will be another hurricane like this. 

Posted

Nearly everything you have said there is wrong.

Good thing that people who know what they are talking about do the forecasting and warning bit. The first advisory from the NHC was 10 miles out from the actual landfall. They are really good at what they do.

r/TropicalWeather - The Initial Forecast Cone for Milton, released at 11am Eastern on 5 October, was ten miles off from the eventual Florida landfall location.

  • Confused 1
Posted
On 10/7/2024 at 9:16 PM, TheTeapot said:

This is very cool

 

It’s not cool in any way. People die. Livelihoods are destroyed. Homes and communities are destroyed. 

Posted
On 10/10/2024 at 6:59 PM, TheTeapot said:

Nearly everything you have said there is wrong.

Good thing that people who know what they are talking about do the forecasting and warning bit. The first advisory from the NHC was 10 miles out from the actual landfall. They are really good at what they do.

r/TropicalWeather - The Initial Forecast Cone for Milton, released at 11am Eastern on 5 October, was ten miles off from the eventual Florida landfall location.

Sorry, but I am totally correct. In fact, Milton is now no more. Cool waters killed it already. 

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